Refining the Business Case for Sustainable Energy Projects Using Palisade @RISK and PrecisionTree: A Biofuel Plant Case Study (PRESENTATION) - SARK7
Presented at 2011 Palisade Europe Risk Conference in Amsterdam
Refining the Business Case for
Sustainable Energy Projects Using
Palisade @RISK and PrecisionTree:
A Biofuel Plant Case Study
Overview
1. Profitable sustainable energy projects
2. Palisade as facilitating tool
3. Biofuel project... more
Overview
1. Profitable sustainable energy projects
2. Palisade as facilitating tool
3. Biofuel project as example
• Examples using Palisade Decision Suite
• Economic phenomenon
– Drive to marginal optimality
– Perverse incentives
– ‘The tragedy of the commons’ and free-riders
• Sustainability project characteristics
– Marginally profitable
– Highly sensitive
– Requires systemic engineering / optimization
• Coordinated management of systemic complexity
– Core NPV variance analysis
– Profitable systemic market scenarios
• Leadership gap:
– Transcend politics and sentiment
– Need for market-based solutions
Structured Finance and Global Financial Crisis
Coşkun, Yener. (2010). Structured Finance and Global Financial Crisis (Turkish) Finans Politik & Ekonomik Yorumlar Dergisi 47 (545): 71-80.
Abstract
After emerging from the U.S. housing, finance and eventually real sectors, financial crisis has... more
Abstract
After emerging from the U.S. housing, finance and eventually real sectors, financial crisis has gradually become global. Although problems of structured finance are not new, primary and secondary mortgage market problems in U.S. are essential reasons of the current crisis. In this context, structured finance products/transactions, based on extremely optimistic expectations, light regulation and supervision framework and weak valuation and reporting structure, are of particular place in the process of crisis. In this paper, the author argues that global finance industry needs better regulatory framework for structured finance products. But, despite valuation, accounting, reporting, risk management and systemic risk problems, structured products offer important contributions to increase market liquidity and flexibility. Therefore, over-regulation to structured products would be a mistake for market efficiency. Because Turkish financial markets has faced limited problems related to structured products during crisis period, author considers structured products need no for further regulation in domestic market.
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