Embracing Paradox, Ambiguity, Uncertainty, Impossibility, Unpopularity, Countering Authority to create, imagine and apply
Manifestation of Uncertainty - A Classification
Yee Mey Goh, Linda B. Newnes
Different approaches of uncertainty described in literature focus on different aspects and points of the design... more Different approaches of uncertainty described in literature focus on different aspects and points of the design process and offer insights on different aspects. The aim of this paper is to propose a classification of the manifestation of uncertainty describing the different points of the design process which offers a basis for a shared understanding and characterization of uncertainty. The classification consists of context uncertainty arising from the situation circumstances, data uncertainty stemming from input information or data, model uncertainty resulting from the simplifications in models, and phenomenological uncertainty connected to the outcome of the process. Each of these categories is described in detail which offers the basis for positioning the research contributions published in previous ICED conferences. The classification allows an identification of the part of the design process which is most influenced by uncertainty and activities for improvement and uncertainty reduction can be focused at this aspect. Furthermore, techniques for modeling and managing this uncertainty can be identified.
The Pragmatics of Prognostication in Times of Climate Change
by Renzo Taddei
In the context of climate change, climate forecasting is one of the most relevant forms of forecasting in our current... more In the context of climate change, climate forecasting is one of the most relevant forms of forecasting in our current times. At the same time, it is one of the most problematic branches of the social communication of science. Based on six years of field work among meteorologists and rain prophets in the semi-arid area of Northeast Brazil, this paper explores the pragmatics of prognostication and of the social communication of climate forecasts. At the core of the issue lie different forms of understanding and representing uncertainty, and how different discourses – especially religious narratives and political rhetoric - frame and make use of it according to their agendas.

