Information Acquisition and Learning from Prices Over the Business Cycle
by Björn Ohl
Co-authored with Taneli Mäkinen.
We study firms' incentives to acquire costly information in booms and recessions to understand the role of endogenous... more We study firms' incentives to acquire costly information in booms and recessions to understand the role of endogenous information in explaining asymmetric business cycles. When the economy has been in a boom in the previous period, and firms enter the current period with an optimistic belief, the incentive to acquire information is weaker than when the economy has been in a recession and firms share a pessimistic belief. However, the price system, in transmitting information from informed to uninformed firms, moderates asymmetric incentives in information acquisition and renders the aggregate learning outcome approximately acyclical. Our results challenge the prevailing view of procyclical learning as the source of asymmetric business cycles.
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Seen by:New Book: Innovation and Economic Crisis, Routledge, co-authored with Daniele Archibugi
Contents: Preface Introduction 1. At the root of the crisis: some proposed explanations 2. Technological change,... more Contents: Preface Introduction 1. At the root of the crisis: some proposed explanations 2. Technological change, patterns of innovation, and economic development: The contribution of the Neo-Schumpeterian research 3. The role of the rules: National Systems of Innovation and labor market institutions 4. Is the crisis hampering innovation convergence in Europe? 5. National Systems of Innovation, Structure, and Demand 6. Varieties of capitalism and innovation investment 7. Who is swimming against the stream: is accumulation more creative than destruction? 8. Innovation in the manufacturing and service sector: impact and firms’ strategies 9. Is slack good for innovation in times of crisis? 10. Conclusions
Business Cycle and Sector Cycles: Model-Based Filtering and Application to Italian Data
A methodology based on the multivariate generalized Butterwoth filter for extracting the business cycles of the whole... more A methodology based on the multivariate generalized Butterwoth filter for extracting the business cycles of the whole economy and of its productive sectors is developed. The method is then illustrated through an application to the Italian gross value added time series of the main economic sectors.
