Using Prospective Hazard Analysis to Assess an Active Shooter Emergency Operations Plan
by Alan Card
Alan J. Card, Heidi Harrison, James Ward, P. John Clarkson. Using Prospective Hazard Analysis to Assess an Active Shooter Emergency Operations Plan. Journal of Healthcare Risk Management. 2012;31(3):34-40.
Most risk management activity in the healthcare sector is retrospective, based on learning from experience. This is... more
Most risk management activity in the healthcare sector is retrospective, based on learning from experience. This is feasible where the risks are routine, but emergency operations plans (EOP) guide the response to events that are both high risk and rare. Under these circumstances, it is important to get the response right the first time, but learning from experience is usually not an option. This case study presents the rationale for taking a proactive approach to improving healthcare organizations' EOP. It demonstrates how the Prospective Hazard Analysis (PHA) Toolkit can drive organizational learning and argues that this toolkit may lead to more efficient improvement than drills and exercises.
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Wiley's copyright policies do not allow me to post the published version of the paper, but they do allow me to send out individual copies. So if you don't have access to the Journal of Healthcare Risk Management and would like a copy of this article, please email me at:
alan [dot] j [dot] card [at] gmail [dot] com
Phillips J - Privy Council EM Curriculum
Developed during internship with the Privy Council Office
Emergency Management (EM) & Business Continuity (BC) Training program developed for the Privy Council / Prime... more Emergency Management (EM) & Business Continuity (BC) Training program developed for the Privy Council / Prime Minister's Office complete with research background, findings, program competencies, appendices for the needs assessment documents used, terminology and acronym dictionary
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Seen by:An Approach to Calibrate Incentives for Continuity of Supply in the Spanish Electricity Distribution System
Co-authored with Camila Fernandes and Tomás Gómez
Electric Power Systems Research
Volume 82, Issue 1, January 2012, Pages 81-87
JCR impact factor 1.396 (2010)
This paper proposes an approach to calibrate incentives for continuity of supply in electricity distribution in Spain.... more
This paper proposes an approach to calibrate incentives for continuity of supply in electricity distribution in Spain. This approach consists on the estimation of the impact of continuity of supply improvements on distribution network costs. For this purpose, distribution costs resulting from different continuity of supply requirements are computed by a reference network model (RNM). The results obtained from the RNM are used to estimate a cost-function that considers continuity of supply a cost driver for distribution costs. This methodology is applied to three Spanish areas of service (an urban one, a semi-urban one and a rural one) in such a way that differences in distribution costs caused by the characteristics of the area type can be taken into account. The analysis indicated that distribution costs are more sensitive to continuity of supply improvements in rural areas of service. It also demonstrated that the incentive for reducing number of service interruptions should be higher than the incentive for reducing duration of service interruptions. Finally, the current Spanish incentive scheme for continuity of supply was analyzed under the perspective of the proposed approach.
A degree in dealing with disasters
by Brian Crisan
Published in the USA Today College Blog
In this USA Today article, I encourage college students to consider emergency management as a degree. In this USA Today article, I encourage college students to consider emergency management as a degree.
